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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 2
Toluca

Huerta (31' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Baeza (36')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
57.18% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.44% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.122 0.12)49.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.108 0.11)71.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)47.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.178 0.18)39.95% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.162 0.16)76.6% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 57.18%
    Toluca 19.44%
    Draw 23.37%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.44%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
1-1
Toluca
Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
Toluca
1-0
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (60')
Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')

Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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