Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 20, 2022 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 1America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca
Monday, October 17 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Monday, October 17 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 16 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 16 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Toluca
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
24.49% | 22.44% | 53.07% |
Both teams to score 59.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% | 39.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% | 62.35% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% | 29.6% |