Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Necaxa3 - 0Juarez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Juarez |
38.69% ( -0.17) | 24.7% ( -0.02) | 36.61% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( 0.09) | 44.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.08) | 66.66% ( -0.08) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.05) | 22.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.55% ( -0.07) | 56.45% ( 0.08) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.14) | 23.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.2) | 58.04% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Necaxa 38.69%
Juarez 36.61%
Draw 24.7%
| Necaxa | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.61% |
