Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.