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Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 0
Atletico San Luis

Meneses (12'), Gonzalez (34')
Ruiz (51'), Navarro (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dourado (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-5 Toluca
Friday, February 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, February 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
57.97% (0.101 0.1) 21.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 20.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (0.023000000000003 0.02)42.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.25% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.039999999999992 0.04)14.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.52% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)35.12% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)71.87% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 57.97%
    Atletico San Luis 20.12%
    Draw 21.91%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.97%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.12%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Atletico San Luis
1-0
Toluca
Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6'), (90+7')

Sierra (65')
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Toluca

Juarez (3'), Waller (45+5')
Sanvezzo (4')
Garcia (13')
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+4')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4'), Waller (90+4')
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Toluca

Chavez (45+1')

Barbieri (35'), Baeza (59'), Castaneda (63')
Aug 2, 2020 6pm
Toluca
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Estrada (7'), Canelo (28', 49')
Guemez (17'), Medina (24'), Sauro (48'), Maidana (82')
Berterame (12'), Ibanez (59' pen.)
Sanchez (41'), Ibanez (75'), Mayada (89'), Berterame (90+2'), Pineda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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