MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 04:49:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
3 - 0
Juarez

Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')
Mosquera (54'), Guzman (83'), Fernandez (85'), Baeza (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nevarez (20'), Medina (35'), Olivera (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Pumas
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
52.32% (0.062000000000005 0.06) 24.42% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 23.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)49.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.88% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (0.067 0.07)50.61% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.07% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)72.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 52.32%
    Juarez 23.26%
    Draw 24.42%
TolucaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Lainez (35'), Medina (69'), Rolan (90+5')
Meneses (90+2')
Ortega (40'), Rodriguez (68'), Meneses (89'), Navarro (90+6')
Saucedo (90+8')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Fernandez (90+5')
Garcia (66')
Jul 24, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Ortega (6'), Sambueza (63' pen.), Canelo (89')
Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez (83')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Galvan (60')
Garcia (8'), Santos (45'), Fabian (66'), Garcia (90'), Rosel (90+4')

Sambueza (34')
Sep 9, 2020 1am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Sartiaguin (33')
Lezcano (51')
Fabian (17'), Intriago (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!