Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
Angers1 - 2Rennes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Angers 1-3 Rennes
We expect Rennes' attacking quality to be too much for Angers to handle on Sunday. It is a meeting between Ligue 1's worst defence and second best attack, making by far the most likely outcome an away win in what should be an entertaining affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Rennes |
19.76% ( 1.3) | 22.29% ( 0.31) | 57.94% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 0.56) | 45.02% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.54) | 67.37% ( -0.54) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 1.74) | 36.74% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.46% ( 1.7) | 73.53% ( -1.7) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.34) | 15.25% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.63) | 43.93% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Angers 19.76%
Rennes 57.93%
Draw 22.29%
| Angers | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.76% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.93% |
How you voted: Angers vs Rennes
Angers
18.2%Draw
9.1%Rennes
72.7%55
