Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
75.61% ( -0.06) | 15.76% ( -0.03) | 8.64% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 44.8% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.44% ( 0.5) | 40.57% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.05% ( 0.51) | 62.95% ( -0.5) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( 0.11) | 9.07% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.17% ( 0.26) | 30.83% ( -0.25) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.27% ( 0.56) | 50.73% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.84% ( 0.38) | 85.16% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 75.6% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.76% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 8.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |