Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Route de Lorient
Rennes3 - 2Lyon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Rennes
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Rennes 2-1 Lyon
It should be a tight game, especially as Rennes have played a lot more games than Lyon lately, but the hosts have the confidence which the visitors do not and that should give them the slight edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
62.64% ( 0.53) | 20.26% ( 0.18) | 17.1% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -2.09) | 40.13% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -2.19) | 62.5% ( 2.19) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.49) | 12.25% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.03% ( -1.03) | 37.97% ( 1.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( -2.07) | 36.8% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.41% ( -2.12) | 73.59% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Rennes 62.64%
Lyon 17.1%
Draw 20.26%
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.64% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.1% |
How you voted: Rennes vs Lyon
Rennes
76.6%Draw
12.5%Lyon
10.9%64
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 4.05pm
Lyon
2-4
Rennes
Bourigeaud (11'), Santamaria (13'), Majer (45+1'), Terrier (49')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Mar 21, 2020 4.30pm
