Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
49.62% ( -0.08) | 24.59% ( 0) | 25.79% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( 0.05) | 48.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( 0.04) | 70.52% ( -0.04) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% ( -0.02) | 51.43% ( 0.03) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( 0.09) | 33.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( 0.1) | 69.65% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |