MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:48:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II
Troyes

Monaco
2 - 4
Troyes

Maripan (10'), Fofana (63')
Maripan (21'), Aguilar (48')
Maripan (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tardieu (22' pen.), Odobert (45+2'), Balde (48'), Salmier (78')
Palmer-Brown (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-1 Angers
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Troyes

Even with five at the back, Troyes have rarely looked comfortable defending this season, and we expect them to have a hard time containing a dynamic Monegasque attack who have plenty of offensive punch. Monaco have won the last five contests against ESTAC and have never lost to them at Louis II, scoring eight goals in their previous three home outings versus Troyes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawTroyes
69.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 18.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.61%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)11.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.43% (0.013000000000002 0.01)82.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 69.77%
    Troyes 11.67%
    Draw 18.54%
MonacoDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 69.77%
1-1 @ 8.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.42%
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.67%

How you voted: Monaco vs Troyes

Monaco
75.6%
Draw
22.0%
Troyes
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Monaco
2-1
Troyes
Henrique (19'), Volland (57')
Aguilar (22'), Ben Yedder (71')
Ugbo (39')
Biancone (72'), Kouame (81')
Aug 29, 2021 12pm
Troyes
1-2
Monaco
Aguilar (51' og.)
El Hajjam (68')
Diop (40', 58')
Maripan (28'), Tchouameni (48')
May 19, 2018 8pm
Troyes
0-3
Monaco

Herelle (68')
Lopes (22', 71'), Mboula (90')
Lopes (89')
Dec 9, 2017 7pm
Monaco
3-2
Troyes
Deplagne (70' og.), Carrillo (85', 88')
Glik (21'), Jorge (42'), Fabinho (72'), Falcao (72'), Carrillo (72')
Hyun-Jun (25', 50')
Hyun-Jun (7'), Darbion (64'), Herelle (72')
Feb 20, 2016 7pm
Monaco
3-1
Troyes
Carrillo (25', 38'), Mbappe (93')
Toulalan (43'), Bakayoko (83')
Gueye (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!