Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Troyes |
69.75% | 18.85% | 11.4% |
Both teams to score 44.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% | 46.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.42% | 68.58% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.91% | 12.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.36% | 37.64% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.11% | 48.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.12% | 83.88% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 13.19% 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.07% Total : 69.74% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.85% | 0-1 @ 4.23% 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |