We said: Monaco 3-1 Brest
Monaco's in-form forwards will be looking to fill their boots on their first outing of 2023, as their opening opponents of the new year are vulnerable at the back. Brest can cause problems for a home side which has defensive issues of their own, but will find the Monegasques' weight of attacking talent too much to withstand.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.