Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
46.74% ( 0.06) | 23.63% ( -0.04) | 29.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( 0.17) | 41.46% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( 0.18) | 63.86% ( -0.18) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( 0.09) | 17.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.17% ( 0.16) | 48.82% ( -0.16) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.07) | 26.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 0.1) | 61.89% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |