Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
46.5% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( -0) | 28.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0) | 20.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0) | 53.07% ( 0) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.02) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.02) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |