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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse

Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse


Abergel (70'), Meite (78'), Kalulu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (68')
Sierro (51'), Spierings (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse

In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
32.07% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72) 25.3% (-0.146 -0.15) 42.63% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.415 0.41)47.92% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.381 0.38)70.09% (-0.384 -0.38)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.256 -0.26)28.26% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.324 -0.32)63.97% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.595 0.59)22.41% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.883 0.88)55.93% (-0.886 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 32.07%
    Toulouse 42.63%
    Draw 25.3%
LorientDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Toulouse
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413


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