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Ligue 1
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Brest logo

Lorient
2 - 1
Brest

Kone (32', 51')
Yongwa (83'), Makengo (89')
Makengo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Duverne (42'), Lees-Melou (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Brest

 There is much less on the line for Lorient than Brest at this stage of the season, but Le Bris will not want to witness any drop-off in performance following last week's memorable success, which should lead to a combative and closely-fought derby this weekend. Brest may be on an upward trajectory, but failure to convert draws into wins on the road is bedevilling them, and we can picture Les Pirates accepting a point on their travels again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawBrest
38.5% (0.349 0.35) 27.98% (-0.026 -0.03) 33.52% (-0.321 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.055 0.05)58.35% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.044 0.04)78.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.235 0.23)29.38% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.285 0.28)65.37% (-0.283 -0.28)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.188 -0.19)32.53% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.212 -0.21)69.07% (0.215 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 38.5%
    Brest 33.51%
    Draw 27.97%
LorientDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.5%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Lorient vs Brest

Lorient
56.5%
Draw
17.4%
Brest
26.1%
23
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Del Castillo (17')
Slimani (21')
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
gameweek 31
Lorient
1-0
Brest
Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
gameweek 4
Brest
3-2
Lorient
Perraud (30'), Mounie (32'), Honorat (62')
Belkebla (4'), Mbock (73')
Herelle (34' og.), Monconduit (90+1')
Hamel (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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