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Ligue 1
Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Marseille

Clermont
1 - 5
Marseille

Boutobba (53')
Cham (34'), Borges (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ndiaye (23'), Aubameyang (59'), Clauss (67'), Henrique (80'), Moumbagna (90+2')
Kondogbia (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Marseille

 Both teams have reason to be optimistic of success on Saturday and will view this fixture as a must-win if they wish to achieve their end-of-season targets. Although Marseille's away from has been woeful to say the least this term, their resurgence under new boss Gasset has not gone unnoticed and the 70-year-old should have enough quality at his disposal to lead the visitors to an important victory over their relegation-threatened counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMarseille
23.74% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 51.05% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)52.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)74.24% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)37.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.041 0.04)73.91% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.049000000000007 0.05)20.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.078000000000003 0.08)53.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 23.74%
    Marseille 51.04%
    Draw 25.21%
ClermontDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.04%

How you voted: Clermont vs Marseille

Clermont
13.5%
Draw
15.4%
Marseille
71.2%
52
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
2-1
Clermont
Murillo (26'), Harit (42')
Allevinah (58')
Seidu (67'), Gastien (85'), Caufriez (89')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 23
Clermont
0-2
Marseille
Sanchez (44' pen., 81')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
1-0
Clermont
Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
0-1
Marseille

Khaoui (53')
Under (25')
Guendouzi (24'), Saliba (40'), Balerdi (43'), de la Fuente (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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