Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 1Metz
We said: Marseille 2-0 Metz
Stalemates have been commonplace between Marseille and Metz over the past few years, but Les Olympiens would do well to convert one point into three on Friday lest they risk the fans' wrath again. Thankfully for Gattuso's men, their visitors' attack has been one of the least threatening in the league all season long - only Clermont boast a worse offensive record - and Les Olympiens should chalk up a couple of strikes en route to a relief-inducing victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Metz |
68.46% ( -0.08) | 18.44% ( 0.02) | 13.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
