Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 PSG
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lens 3-2 Lyon
These two sides have scored 32 goals combined in their opening eight matches and have an abundance of capable goalscorers among their squads, so goals could be in high supply here. Lens' perfect home form combined with Lyon's dreadful record on the road so far makes the hosts slight favourites though, and they may just have enough to edge this encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lyon |
40.35% ( 0.46) | 24.41% ( 0.08) | 35.24% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
