MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 18:55:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lorient logo

Lens
5 - 2
Lorient

Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Lorient

Although both sides are unbeaten this term, we think that a Lens side that have won both of their home games this season will edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 21.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.87%
    Lorient 14.78%
    Draw 21.33%
LensDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 12.23%
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 63.87%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Lorient
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Lorient
2-3
Lens
Grbic (14'), Wissa (90+2' pen.)
Boisgard (6'), Laporte (30'), Diarra (45'), Le Fee (65')
Kakuta (31' pen.), Medina (34'), Ganago (63')
Cahuzac (49'), Bade (79')
Bade (90+1')
Apr 4, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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