Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens5 - 2Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Lorient | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Lille | 4 | -1 | 7 |
We said: Lens 2-1 Lorient
Although both sides are unbeaten this term, we think that a Lens side that have won both of their home games this season will edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lorient |
63.88% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( -0.01) | 14.78% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.03) | 49.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 0.02) | 71.23% ( -0.02) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( 0.01) | 14.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.02) | 42.92% ( -0.02) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.71% ( 0.01) | 45.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.83% ( 0.01) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 63.87%
Lorient 14.78%
Draw 21.33%
| Lens | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.87% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.78% |
How you voted: Lens vs Lorient
Lens
81.5%Draw
7.4%Lorient
11.1%54
