Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 14 | 9 |
2 | Lens | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Marseille | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Rennes | 3 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Auxerre | 3 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
39% ( -0.07) | 26.42% ( -0.14) | 34.58% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% ( 0.59) | 52.1% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% ( 0.51) | 73.82% ( -0.51) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( 0.23) | 26.13% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( 0.31) | 61.2% ( -0.32) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( 0.42) | 28.71% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( 0.52) | 64.54% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |