Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
42.08% ( 0.92) | 26.1% ( -0.32) | 31.81% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 1.13) | 51.42% ( -1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.97) | 73.23% ( -0.98) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.98) | 24.2% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% ( 1.37) | 58.54% ( -1.37) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.82% ( 0.16) | 30.17% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( 0.19) | 66.32% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |