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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Marseille

Lyon
2 - 1
Marseille

Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guendouzi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lyon 0-0 Marseille

Marseille will hope to see their affinity for draws become a thing of the past following the international break, but Sampaoli is under pressure to find the right formula for his side's attacking troubles. A confidence-depleted Lyon can at least fall back on their solid home record and recent spate of strong results against Marseille, so we expect defences to take centre stage as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMarseille
40.73%25.76%33.5%
Both teams to score 54.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.56%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.32%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 40.73%
    Marseille 33.5%
    Draw 25.75%
LyonDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.5%

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

Lyon
42.1%
Draw
29.2%
Marseille
28.7%
202
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
1-1
Lyon
Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Feb 12, 2020 8.05pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Aouar (81')
Tete (17'), Caqueret (89')

Strootman (37'), Sanson (49'), Sakai (69')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Lyon
Payet (18' pen., 39')
Sarr (10'), Alvaro (46'), Rongier (83')
Alvaro (64')
Dembele (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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