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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Marseille

Lyon
2 - 1
Marseille

Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guendouzi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lyon 0-0 Marseille

Marseille will hope to see their affinity for draws become a thing of the past following the international break, but Sampaoli is under pressure to find the right formula for his side's attacking troubles. A confidence-depleted Lyon can at least fall back on their solid home record and recent spate of strong results against Marseille, so we expect defences to take centre stage as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMarseille
40.73%25.76%33.5%
Both teams to score 54.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.56%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.32%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 40.73%
    Marseille 33.5%
    Draw 25.75%
LyonDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.5%

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

Lyon
42.1%
Draw
29.2%
Marseille
28.7%
202
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
1-1
Lyon
Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Feb 12, 2020 8.05pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Aouar (81')
Tete (17'), Caqueret (89')

Strootman (37'), Sanson (49'), Sakai (69')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Lyon
Payet (18' pen., 39')
Sarr (10'), Alvaro (46'), Rongier (83')
Alvaro (64')
Dembele (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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