Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Lyon3 - 1Rennes
We said: Lyon 1-1 Rennes
Both teams have shown what they are capable of in recent weeks, but achieving consistency has been beyond two young sides. Well-matched on paper, this Easter Sunday encounter could be a close-fought contest which ends in a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
47.21% ( -0.29) | 24.37% ( 0.07) | 28.42% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
