MX23RW : Monday, January 13 05:29:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
AJ Auxerre

Marseille
2 - 1
Auxerre

Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Sanchez (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toure (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Lille
Saturday, April 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Auxerre

Marseille's form at the Velodrome has not been great, but a win here last time out plus success at Lyon last week may give the side an additional boost. Auxerre will not make it easy for OM, though, and should cause the home side more than a few problems in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
63.97% (0.832 0.83) 20.2% (-0.292 -0.29) 15.83% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.81% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.296 0.3)42.24% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35% (0.297 0.3)64.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.32799999999999 0.33)12.52% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (0.679 0.68)38.53% (-0.679 -0.68)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.498 -0.5)39.63% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.465 -0.47)76.32% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.96%
    Auxerre 15.83%
    Draw 20.2%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 63.96%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.83%

How you voted: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille
87.8%
Draw
8.2%
Auxerre
4.1%
49
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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