Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
63.97% ( 0.83) | 20.2% ( -0.29) | 15.83% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% ( 0.3) | 42.24% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.35% ( 0.3) | 64.64% ( -0.3) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% ( 0.33) | 12.52% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% ( 0.68) | 38.53% ( -0.68) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.5) | 39.63% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.47) | 76.32% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.2% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |