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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Montpellier

Marseille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Guendouzi (44' pen.)
Veretout (45+6'), Gigot (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nordin (12')
Sakho (42'), Germain (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier HSC

Marseille's home form has often been underwhelming this season, and they will be tested fully by such an in-form Montpellier side. The visitors have become very solid defensively, but Ferri's suspension gives Der Zakarian a selection headache with so many players out injured in that position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
61.82%20.82%17.36%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75%42.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35%64.65%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86%13.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19%39.8%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.55%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.82%
    Montpellier HSC 17.36%
    Draw 20.82%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.22%
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 4.96%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.83%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 17.36%

How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille
75.4%
Draw
20.2%
Montpellier HSC
4.4%
114
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 6pm
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
Mbemba (7')
Apr 10, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-0
Montpellier
Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')
Jan 29, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Marseille win 5-4 on penalties
Milik (74')
Kamara (90+1')
Makouana (80')
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
Montpellier
2-3
Marseille
Peres (30' og.), Laborde (34')
Under (68'), Payet (75', 80')
Peres (44')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
3-3
Marseille
Delort (1'), Laborde (47', 90+2')
Mollet (8'), Ferri (76')
Milik (43'), Gueye (45+1'), Perrin (71')
Thauvin (40'), Gonzalez (54')
Caleta-Car (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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