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AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lens logo

Marseille
0 - 1
Lens


Kolasinac (14'), Rongier (23'), Tudor (23'), Guendouzi (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Costa (78')
Sotoca (34'), Onana (38'), Haidara (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Lens

 Away days have not been Lens' specialities this term, and a Marseille side determined to bounce back from their Classique defeat and return to the top three at Les Sang et Or's expense are to be taken very seriously indeed. While Marseille ought to have no trouble finding the back of the net at home, a lack of options in the heart of defence should leave Haise's side feeling confident about their chances of coming away with a well-earned point to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Lens had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLens
47.32% (-0.615 -0.62) 25.36% (0.277 0.28) 27.32% (0.332 0.33)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.612 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)50.47% (0.918 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-0.823 -0.82)72.4% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.646 -0.65)21.34% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-1.006 -1.01)54.3% (0.999 1)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)32.94% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (-0.251 -0.25)69.52% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 47.31%
    Lens 27.32%
    Draw 25.35%
MarseilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lens

Marseille
73.2%
Draw
18.6%
Lens
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-1
Lens

Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')
Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')
Mar 22, 2015 8pm
Lens
0-4
Marseille

Valdivia (11'), Gbamin (35'), Lemoigne (66')
Batshuayi (46', 93'), Romao (67'), Ayew (72')
Dja Djedje (22'), Imbula (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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