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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Marseille

PSG
1 - 0
Marseille

Neymar (45+1')
Marquinhos (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Marseille.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Benfica
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Marseille

The result of Sunday's derby could very well hinge on Messi's availability, and if the silky Argentine is indeed ruled out, Le Classique may not be much of a classic at all for the home crowd. As eye-catching as Marseille's wins over Sporting were, they must be taken with a great pinch of salt given their opponents' lack of discipline, and a depleted Galtier defence can still hold firm to maintain their grip on first place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
58.21% (-0.289 -0.29) 22.86% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 18.93% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.39% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (0.055 0.05)48.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.048999999999999 0.05)70.72% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)16.4% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95% (-0.146 -0.15)46.05% (0.149 0.15)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.289 0.29)39.72% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61% (0.264 0.26)76.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.19%
    Marseille 18.93%
    Draw 22.86%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: PSG vs Marseille

Paris Saint-Germain
80.6%
Draw
10.0%
Marseille
9.4%
170
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-2
PSG

Gueye (49')
Payet (90+1')
Mbappe (9'), Icardi (24')
Paredes (45+1'), Icardi (53')
Sep 13, 2020 8pm
PSG
0-1
Marseille

Neymar (11'), Florenzi (13'), Bernat (52'), Paredes (72'), di Maria (74')
Kurzawa (90+7'), Paredes (90+7'), Neymar (90+9')
Thauvin (31')
Sakai (7'), Payet (11'), Gueye (38'), Gonzalez (50'), Lopez (61'), Benedetto (71'), Strootman (90+1')
Amavi (90+7'), Benedetto (90+7')
Mar 22, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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