Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.