Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
40.25% ( 0.15) | 25.79% ( -0.03) | 33.96% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( 0.09) | 49.53% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.08) | 71.56% ( -0.08) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 0.12) | 24.3% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 0.17) | 58.67% ( -0.17) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% ( -0.04) | 27.85% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% ( -0.05) | 63.45% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |