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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Montpellier

Troyes
0 - 1
Montpellier


Agoume (8'), Chavalerin (81')
Ndiaga Yade (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khazri (90')
Chotard (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 2-3 Montpellier HSC

 Given that Montpellier have shown some improved signs in recent weeks, we expect them to emerge as narrow victors, in what should be an end-to-end game with plenty of goals. La Paillade are heading into the match off the back of a confidence-boosting victory, while Troyes have been in very poor form for a long time, and we cannot see that changing on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
38.77% (0.78 0.78) 26.29% (-0.133 -0.13) 34.93% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.505 0.51)51.55% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.438 0.44)73.34% (-0.431 -0.43)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.669 0.67)26% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.89 0.89)61.03% (-0.883 -0.88)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.146 -0.15)28.23% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.186 -0.19)63.93% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 38.77%
    Montpellier HSC 34.93%
    Draw 26.29%
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Troyes vs Montpellier

Troyes
34.0%
Draw
20.0%
Montpellier HSC
46.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
3-2
Troyes
Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
0-1
Troyes

Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
Savanier (63')
Chavalerin (74')
Biancone (21')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Touzghar (37')
Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Savanier (87')
Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
Thuler (79')
May 12, 2018 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Troyes
Cozza (58')
Azamoum (31')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Montpellier

Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
Vizcarrondo (90')
Mendes (32')
Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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