Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
16.21% ( 0.64) | 20.4% ( 0.17) | 63.39% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% ( 0.46) | 42.41% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.45) | 64.82% ( -0.45) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( 1.1) | 39.26% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 1.01) | 75.97% ( -1.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( -0.09) | 12.74% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% ( -0.19) | 38.98% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |