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Montpellier
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Rennes
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens

Maouassa (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulgini (4')
Danso (20'), Sotoca (23'), Costa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lens

 Having claimed back-to-back wins following Der Zakarian's arrival, Montpellier will fancy their chances of frustrating Lens, regardless of the 23-point gap between the two sides. The Blood and Gold have drawn four of their last five away league outings, so the European chasers might have to settle for another point on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
16.21% (0.64 0.64) 20.4% (0.174 0.17) 63.39% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)
Both teams to score 53% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.45500000000001 0.46)42.41% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.454 0.45)64.82% (-0.455 -0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (1.1 1.1)39.26% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (1.014 1.01)75.97% (-1.016 -1.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)12.74% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (-0.193 -0.19)38.98% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 16.21%
    Lens 63.38%
    Draw 20.4%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.61% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.38%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
27.7%
Draw
17.0%
Lens
55.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')

Wahi (19')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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