Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier3 - 1Lorient
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 42.39% | 27.17% | 30.43% |
| Both teams to score 49.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.76% | 61.23% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% | 33.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.82% | 70.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 42.38%
Lorient 30.43%
Draw 27.17%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.43% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient
Montpellier HSC
47.2%Draw
33.3%Lorient
19.4%36
Form Guide
