Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
36.27% | 27.24% | 36.48% |
Both teams to score 50.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.66% | 55.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% | 76.55% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% | 29.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% | 65.21% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% | 65.05% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |