Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.