Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
31.9% | 25.12% | 42.98% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% | 69.44% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% | 28.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% | 63.67% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.05% | 21.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.77% | 55.22% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |