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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Monaco

Nantes
2 - 2
Monaco

Mohamed (65'), Blas (78')
Girotto (56'), Corchia (62'), Blas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Disasi (21'), Matazo (30')
Volland (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Monaco

 These two teams have been challenging to read this season, and they have each been streaky at times in 2022-23. That being said, Monaco have looked much sharper and calmer away from home and should be able to exploit a Nantes side who seem to be feeling the pressure of potential relegation at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMonaco
18.39% (-0.313 -0.31) 21.85% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 59.76% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)45.13% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)67.48% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.403 -0.4)38.3% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.389 -0.39)75.06% (0.389 0.39)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.096000000000004 0.1)14.7% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.185 0.19)42.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 18.39%
    Monaco 59.74%
    Draw 21.85%
NantesDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.39%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.34% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.025 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 59.74%

How you voted: Nantes vs Monaco

Nantes
6.7%
Draw
20.0%
Monaco
73.3%
45
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4.05pm
Monaco
4-1
Nantes
Embolo (2'), Ben Yedder (6', 28', 62' pen.)
Henrique (79' og.)
Girotto (60')
Mar 2, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
 Nantes win 4-2 on penalties
Sidibe (21' og.), Moutoussamy (74')
Maripan (12'), Boadu (76')
Jan 9, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Monaco

Kolo (22')

Diop (72'), Matazo (80')
Aug 6, 2021 8pm
Monaco
1-1
Nantes
Martins (14')
Castelletto (42')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Monaco
Emond (83')
Appiah (55'), Pallois (73'), Emond (90+2')
Pallois (73')
Maripan (45'), Volland (60')
Diatta (19'), Fofana (29'), Luis (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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