Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lens3 - 1Nantes
We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes
Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
50.69% ( 0.65) | 25.63% ( -0.21) | 23.67% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.41) | 54.25% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.34) | 75.65% ( -0.35) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.45) | 21.43% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.56% ( 0.69) | 54.44% ( -0.69) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.18) | 38.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.17) | 74.87% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 50.69%
Nantes 23.67%
Draw 25.62%
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.67% |
How you voted: Lens vs Nantes
Lens
60.5%Draw
23.7%Nantes
15.8%38
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Lens
Moutoussamy (79')
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
