Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
50.69% ( 0.65) | 25.63% ( -0.21) | 23.67% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.75% ( 0.41) | 54.25% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% ( 0.34) | 75.65% ( -0.35) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( 0.45) | 21.43% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( 0.69) | 54.44% ( -0.69) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -0.18) | 38.11% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% ( -0.17) | 74.87% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |