Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.19% ( 0.21) | 17.26% ( -0.13) | 12.55% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.16% ( 0.42) | 35.84% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.08% ( 0.46) | 57.92% ( -0.46) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.87% ( 0.16) | 9.13% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.01% ( 0.38) | 30.99% ( -0.38) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% ( 0.15) | 40.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.18% ( 0.14) | 76.82% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.19% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 12.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |