Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Auxerre | 5 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Nantes | 5 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Troyes | 5 | -3 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 17 | 13 |
2 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-3 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
11% ( -0.93) | 15.89% ( -0.97) | 73.11% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.67% ( 2.18) | 33.32% ( -2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.9% ( 2.45) | 55.1% ( -2.45) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.99% ( -0.07) | 41.01% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.44% ( -0.06) | 77.56% ( 0.06) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.13% ( 0.95) | 7.87% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.13% ( 2.35) | 27.87% ( -2.35) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.39% Total : 11% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.89% | 0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 8.84% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.86% ( 0.31) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.15) 0-6 @ 1.21% ( 0.18) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.12) 1-6 @ 1.08% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.28% Total : 73.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |