Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
37.81% ( 0.37) | 26.05% ( -0.05) | 36.14% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.6% ( 0.19) | 50.39% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% ( 0.17) | 72.33% ( -0.17) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( 0.29) | 26% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( 0.4) | 61.02% ( -0.4) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -0.1) | 26.95% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( -0.13) | 62.29% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |