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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lyon

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lyon

Sanson (15')
Aholou (39'), Djiku (46')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
Diomande (35'), Lukeba (68'), Kumbedi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon

Any result for Strasbourg here will feel important with the two sides below them not playing this weekend, and Auxerre facing Marseille away. Lyon have only lost one of their last nine away games, and despite last week's disappointment, they should be able to extend that run here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
33.86% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 25.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 40.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)49.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)63.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.25% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 33.86%
    Lyon 40.45%
    Draw 25.67%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lyon

Strasbourg
25.0%
Draw
15.2%
Lyon
59.8%
92
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Lyon
1-2
Strasbourg
Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
Lovren (56')
Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')
Aholou (59'), Diallo (60'), Diarra (80')
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
gameweek 31
Strasbourg
1-1
Lyon
Sissoko (20')
Aholou (68'), Ajorque (90+1'), Sissoko (90+1')
Toko Ekambi (90')
Dubois (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Lyon
3-1
Strasbourg
Dembele (8'), Denayer (64'), Paqueta (87')
Diomande (29'), Boateng (84')
Diallo (90+6' pen.)
Djiku (47')
Feb 6, 2021 6pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
3-0
Strasbourg
Depay (20', 68'), Toko Ekambi (30')
Marcelo (41'), Diomande (61')

Thomasson (14'), Laurey (51')
Thomasson (14')
Oct 18, 2020 12pm
gameweek 7
Strasbourg
2-3
Lyon
Diallo (44'), Aholou (55')
Ajorque (57'), Aholou (90+3')
Kadewere (12'), Toko Ekambi (25', 42')
Kadewere (20'), Cornet (45+1'), Toko Ekambi (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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