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Ligue 1
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lyon

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lyon

Sanson (15')
Aholou (39'), Djiku (46')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
Diomande (35'), Lukeba (68'), Kumbedi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon

 Any result for Strasbourg here will feel important with the two sides below them not playing this weekend, and Auxerre facing Marseille away. Lyon have only lost one of their last nine away games, and despite last week's disappointment, they should be able to extend that run here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
33.86% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 25.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 40.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)49.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)63.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.25% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 33.86%
    Lyon 40.45%
    Draw 25.67%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lyon

Strasbourg
25.0%
Draw
15.2%
Lyon
59.8%
92
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Lyon
1-2
Strasbourg
Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
Lovren (56')
Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')
Aholou (59'), Diallo (60'), Diarra (80')
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
gameweek 31
Strasbourg
1-1
Lyon
Sissoko (20')
Aholou (68'), Ajorque (90+1'), Sissoko (90+1')
Toko Ekambi (90')
Dubois (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Lyon
3-1
Strasbourg
Dembele (8'), Denayer (64'), Paqueta (87')
Diomande (29'), Boateng (84')
Diallo (90+6' pen.)
Djiku (47')
Feb 6, 2021 6pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
3-0
Strasbourg
Depay (20', 68'), Toko Ekambi (30')
Marcelo (41'), Diomande (61')

Thomasson (14'), Laurey (51')
Thomasson (14')
Oct 18, 2020 12pm
gameweek 7
Strasbourg
2-3
Lyon
Diallo (44'), Aholou (55')
Ajorque (57'), Aholou (90+3')
Kadewere (12'), Toko Ekambi (25', 42')
Kadewere (20'), Cornet (45+1'), Toko Ekambi (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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