PSG2 - 0Brest
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We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Brest
While it remains to be seen which players PSG will be able to welcome back from their COVID-19 cluster, it will surely be too big an ask for Brest to prevent the league leaders from returning to winning ways. Keeping the back door shut away from home is not one of Brest's strong points - despite their impressive run without defeat on rival turf - but their wait for a first win against PSG since 1985 is sure to continue this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 73.33% | 16.29% | 10.38% |
| Both teams to score 50.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% | 37.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.46% | 59.53% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% | 8.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% | 44.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.15% | 80.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 11.66% 1-0 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 7.58% 4-0 @ 5.75% 4-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 2.8% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.13% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.32% | 1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 3.95% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.29% | 0-1 @ 3.16% 1-2 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.38% |
How you voted: PSG vs Brest
