Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Brest |
42.29% | 26.82% | 30.9% |
Both teams to score 50.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.42% | 54.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.08% | 75.92% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% | 25.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% | 60.37% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% | 32.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.07% | 68.93% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |