Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes1 - 1Brest
We said: Troyes 1-2 Brest
Brest will hope that defeat to Montpellier last time out was just a blip and they will be boosted by the returning Chardonnet in defence. Troyes have tended to be on the wrong end of close encounters this season and we think it will be the same again here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
| 42.29% | 26.82% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 50.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% | 54.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% | 75.92% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% | 25.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.63% | 60.37% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% | 32.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.07% | 68.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Troyes 42.28%
Brest 30.9%
Draw 26.81%
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.9% |
How you voted: Troyes vs Brest
Troyes
21.4%Draw
21.4%Brest
57.1%56
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Jan 10, 2019
12am
Aug 3, 2018 7pm
Jan 26, 2013 7pm
Troyes
2-1
Brest
Darbion (54'), Camus (44')
Darbion (90')
Darbion (90')
