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Goncalo Ramos
10'
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Alexsandro
17'
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Manuel Ugarte
35'
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Nordi Mukiele
74'
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Randal Kolo
80'
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Yusuf Yazici
6'
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Benjamin Andre
16'
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Ismaily
32'
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Paulo Fonseca
40'
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Alexsandro
52'
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Lille had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Lille Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 52.63%
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.03%