Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lorient |
71.59% ( 0.63) | 17.55% ( -0.22) | 10.86% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.07% ( -0.14) | 41.93% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% ( -0.14) | 64.33% ( 0.15) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% ( 0.12) | 10.39% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% ( 0.27) | 33.92% ( -0.27) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.93% ( -0.84) | 47.07% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.46% ( -0.64) | 82.54% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.58% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 10.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |