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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lorient logo

Lille
3 - 0
Lorient

David (37'), Cabella (90'), Zhegrova (90+3')
Andre (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Bris (30'), Le Bris (30'), Bakayoko (41'), Pelon (55'), Toure (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 12-0 Golden Lion
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 3-0 Lorient

Their Coupe de France encounter was clearly a mismatch, but Lille now have a thirst for goals and will be seeking retribution versus Les Merlus, who beat them handily earlier this season. Lorient could be reeling from several poor defensive displays and numerous starters away on international duty, and we expect to see Les Dogues pounce on a side who could barely contain a second-tier club last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawLorient
71.59% (0.63 0.63) 17.55% (-0.217 -0.22) 10.86% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.143 -0.14)41.93% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.144 -0.14)64.33% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.121 0.12)10.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (0.27200000000001 0.27)33.92% (-0.27 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (-0.835 -0.84)47.07% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (-0.639 -0.64)82.54% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Lille 71.58%
    Lorient 10.86%
    Draw 17.55%
LilleDrawLorient
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.2 0.2)
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.58%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.55%
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 10.86%

How you voted: Lille vs Lorient

Lille
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lorient
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 3
Lorient
4-1
Lille
Abergel (9'), Ponceau (10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')
Apr 2, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 29
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')
Kone (77')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')
David (78')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Lihadji (10'), Jenz (19' og.), Mandava (31')
Soumano (90+1')
Sep 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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