Lens0 - 2PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
The old gang should be back together in terms of Lens' centre-back trio, but with lingering doubts over the fitness of several full-backs, PSG's tricky wide men could have a field day at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Twelve months on from Lens' memorable success in this fixture, history should not repeat itself for reigning champions PSG, who are the only Ligue 1 team without an away defeat this term and should maintain that unblemished record in style. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.18% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.13) | 48.2% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.95) | 36.91% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.91% ( -1.04) | 59.09% ( 1.04) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.79) | 24.65% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.83% ( -1.12) | 59.17% ( 1.13) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.22) | 15.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.41) | 44.75% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.18% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.2% |
