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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
2 - 1
Nantes

Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Nantes

The last two matches for Nantes in this competition were against defensive-minded sides, and we expect the speed and quality of Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, among others, will be too much for the visitors to handle this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.38% (0.01400000000001 0.01) 15.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.89%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)80.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.37%
    Nantes 9.88%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.57%
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.24%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.37%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 15.73%
0-1 @ 2.97%
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Nantes
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 14
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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