Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.72% ( -0.03) | 23.97% ( -0.01) | 54.3% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.01) | 49.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.02) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% ( -0.02) | 37.39% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( -0.02) | 74.17% ( 0.02) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% ( 0.02) | 18.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( 0.04) | 49.18% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 34 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
13 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Rennes | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 20 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 14 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |